So what can we take from the Wildrose showing here in Alberta? Yesterday I focused on what went wrong, and frankly, I thought it was kind of derivative. While no one can claim decisively that a single factor killed the campaign, I think that it is pretty hard not to see the big factors, and when you play them against the backdrop of the whole of the campaign, ours and others, I think that you can get a sense for what went wrong. Ah well, Flanagan’s next book will at least be interesting and filled with cautionary tales about what can go wrong on the Hustings.
So, what went right?
First and foremost Danielle Smith went right. She was our greatest asset, and has been since the “beginning” of the party. I was a fairly uncomfortable PC when the Wildrose through Hinman stole a by-election and brought some necessary media attention to the party’s leadership race. When Hinman sat out (as much as I like the guy) I was relieved, given that while in person he is one of the most personable and incredible politicians I have ever had the pleasure of meeting, in front of a camera or a large group, he tends to fall kind of flat. I joined the party after a short personal conversation with Danielle wherein I cornered her about various issues and she held up better than any politician I had ever put those issues to before. She actually talked to me, not in political jargon but rather she decisively critiqued the issues off the top of her head. I wasn’t ready to join the party, but I was on my way. I started to obsessively research the party and the two remaining candidates, as I am wont to do. Then I read something by Tom Flanagan, who had joined the party, which was something to the effect of “I don’t want to be a member of a protest party, so if that is what this is, I am gone. We have to make a decision about what we intend to be.” That started me thinking seriously. Then Danielle won.
I followed up in having a conversation with a friend of mine, Andrew, who cornered me with his logic and reason. (Damn him) He said that if everyone waited to see if the Wildrose was the next big thing to get involved, no one would get involved. Someone had to be part of the first cohort. (Damn him, and he is soooo cocky when he is right about stuff) So I joined.
But I am getting off track.
Danielle was charismatic, photogenic, quick on her feet, and friendly. She was everything you could hope for in a Leader. The campaign had a picture of her looking silly, from her next to her humping dogs, to a Vulcan salute, to cultural dress, to serving coffee, and these pics came out every single day. It was a stroke of brilliance. I cannot overstate how important this was to the campaign.
We also had some of the brightest political minds that conservatism has to offer. From Vitor Marciano to Tom Flanagan, to all of the crew at HQ that patiently took my panicked calls day after day, this was the most well-run and professional campaign that Alberta has ever seen.
The policies were excellent. Yes, I know that we have gotten more than our share of flack for the Energy Dividend, the so-called Dani-Dollars, and as a libertarian I am not terribly excited about wealth redistribution, but if it is going to happen this is the absolute best way that it could happen. It would occur only in surpluses, would tie Albertans to the resources that they own, and disproportionately help the most poor and vulnerable among us. As for the rest, our policies on healthcare were my personal favourite, and judging by the amount of Doctors, dentists, and other healthcare practitioners that came out of the woodwork for to get involved in a political campaign for the first time ever, they knew it too. To be perfectly clear, the Wildrose policies on healthcare were positive and transformative. I truly do believe that our reforms would be a path to better healthcare for all Albertans.
Then there is the result. First of all, we must remember that even in looking at the bright side of things this result was a colossal failure. The party decided at the outset that the goal was not to make a strong showing and form a vocal Opposition in order to lay the foundation for our new government, the plan was to win a majority and form government. We came tantalisingly close, but it didn’t occur.
That being said, one in three Albertans who bothered to vote voted Wildrose. That is huge. After all of the name-calling, bullying, and mudslinging, they still came out in droves to support our party. The margin of our loss was incredibly close by Canadian political standards, even if our first past the post system of representation somewhat masked the astounding outcome.
We elected our Leader, and with her a team of 16 MLAs to the Legislature. Due primarily to voter support concentration and vote-splitting due to us, there are three Opposition parties in the Legislature, all of official party status. That is, to my knowledge, the first time in Alberta history.
Further, the PCs were held to a disastrously low share of the popular vote, I think that it was 1967 the last time their share was this low. Twinned with this is the fact that a large percentage of the PC support on Election Day was from people that had never voted PC before and probably are unlikely to do so again. It is a shaky and fragile type of support. And based on anecdotal evidence, there is a lot of voter’s remorse going on in Alberta today.
Further, every single Constituency Association had a sudden influx of first time donors and volunteers who worked their cans off during the campaign and now are experienced veterans of a Provincial campaign. They are excited, committed, and want to do it right next time. This is incredibly valuable for the future of our party.
Did we overreach? No. It just went horribly wrong. Did we learn as supporters valuable lessons at every level of the party? Absolutely yes. Do I believe that we can win in 2016? Yes. Four years is a long time in politics, as we saw during the campaign everything can change in only days. But while I am worried about the damage that could be done to the Province in the next four years, the prospects for a party that barely existed two years ago are very bright indeed. And I take a great amount of satisfaction in knowing that this fact will keep the PC partisans awake at night for years to come.










